When making decisions, I feel that I generally follow a
similar method of thinking as discussed in the Wharton (2001) text. While I had some difficulty following the
mathematical problem used to solve the dilemma at hand, the general idea I
understood. I believe it is important to
weigh both sides of the decision and look at both long and short term goals
when determining a choice.
The text discusses 2 steps to take before beginning the
algorithm to solve the problem. The
first is to accumulate knowledge and the second is decision policies. Our class discussion this week we watched a
talk by Dan Gilbert on why we make bad decisions. In his talk, he discussed the same algorithm
mentioned the Wharton text. Gilbert
pointed out why these types of mathematical equations are beneficial for
helping us make better decisions. He
provided excellent examples as to the types of bad decisions we make without
even realizing that we are making them.
For me, I feel that I follow a similar rational way of going about
making a decision, but after watching Gilbert’s talk, I realized that I make a
lot of bad decisions based on irrational reasoning. My decisions are not consistent throughout my
average day or week. They change given
the situation at hand, which is where I struggle as a decision maker. Using a formula can help to make important
decisions more consistent with the method of thinking we all have. We all come from different backgrounds and
different memories that can affect the way we go about making decisions and
using the method discussed in the Wharton text can help make those decisions
easier for us to incorporate into our problems.
The idea the Wharton text provides is simple. “It illustrates a form of logic that is used
to solve a wide variety of far more complex problems in dynamic decision
making.” (Hoch, Kunreather &Gunther, 2001)
By understanding the given elements to the problem at hand, values and
probabilities, we are in better shape for figuring out the answer, also
referred to as dynamic programming.
Utilizing this method can help to eliminate unnecessary variables that
can altar our perception of our options.
This could help in many ways, as our future decisions and planning would
be based on a set of values and probabilities that are not swayed by our own
perceptions.
References
Gilbert, D.
(n.d.). Why we make bad decisions. Dan Gilbert: Why we make bad decisions.
Retrieved October 23, 2014, from http://www.ted.com/talks/dan_gilbert_researches_happiness
Hoch, S. J., Kunreuther, H., & Gunther, R. E. (2001). Wharton
on making decisions. New York: Wiley.